Wake up（49）

 

49

 

Nan Yunshan went back to the back room and sat beside his grandfather He Jiafu. He Jiafu was lying on the sickbed, much older.

Lying on the sickbed, He Jiafu looked at Nan Yunshan with helpless eyes, and asked in a murmur, "Yunshan, I heard that the epidemic is very serious now. I don't know how serious it is now?"

While peeling an apple, Nan Yunshan said to He Jiafu: "Grandpa, this epidemic is a major public health emergency with the fastest spread, the widest range of infection, and the most difficult prevention and control since the founding of New China. In 2020 On September 7, the Chinese government announced that the original local cases had been cleared. In fact, the new crown pneumonia epidemic is still spreading.”

Nan Yunshan handed the peeled apple to He Jiafu, turned on the phone, found online news about the epidemic, and said:

In the early stage of the outbreak, China's basic infection data was previously estimated to be between 1.4 and 2.5; research by the Chinese University of Hong Kong believes that the basic infection number of new coronavirus pneumonia is between 2.24 and 3.58. According to the data of Imperial College London as of January 24, 2020, the median basic infection number is 2.6, and the 95% confidence interval is 2.1-3.5. According to a preprint published by an overseas research team on January 28, 2020, the infection coefficient in Wuhan was determined to be 5.0. According to an article published by a research team led by Tang Biao of Xi'an Jiaotong University on January 24, 2020, the R 0 coefficient may be as high as 6.47. However, researchers from the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention believe that for all case reports up to January 22, 2020, the R 0 coefficient should be 2.2, with a 95% confidence interval of 1.4-3.9. However, on January 23, Lancaster University, the University of Glasgow, and the University of Florida published papers. If the epidemic is not under control, it is estimated that the number of people infected in Wuhan alone will be between 130,000 and 270,000 on February 4. between. On February 1, the medical journal "The Lancet" published a report stating that by January 25, more than 75,800 people in Wuhan had been infected with the new type of pneumonia, and then spread to Chongqing, Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen; If the ability of the virus to spread remains unabated, the epidemic in Wuhan will reach its peak in April, and local outbreaks may continue in many major cities in China, which will peak one or two weeks after the peak of the epidemic in Wuhan.

Nan Yunshan said to He Jiafu: "As of April 14, 2020, a total of 6,764 asymptomatic infections have been reported in mainland China, of which 588 were imported from abroad; the cumulative results were 1,297 confirmed cases, of which 251 were imported from abroad; 4444 cases of medical observation were released, of which 109 were imported from abroad; 1023 cases of asymptomatic infection were still under medical observation, of which 228 were imported from abroad. Grandpa, I don’t believe these data, in fact, many people have been infected with the new type of coronavirus pneumonia .”

Nan Yunshan continued to browse through the phone information. He said to He Jiafu while looking at his mobile phone: "Grandpa, just now the old god told the neighbors in the yard outside the door that the Year of the Pig and Rat is a very dangerous year of man-made disasters and plagues. I saw some news about the world's plagues and disasters. Constantly."

Nan Yunshan began to read related news reports:

From November 2019 to the present, the deadliest flu virus in the United States in 40 years is spreading! According to estimates from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, in the winter of 2019, at least 22 million people in the United States have suffered from influenza and 12,000 people have died. Influenza outbreaks have occurred in 48 of the 50 states in the United States. In addition to influenza, there is also a virus called "Noro" that is also hitting the United States. The Louisiana Department of Health confirmed on February 6 that a norovirus outbreak in a casino in the southwestern part of the state is highly contagious and has caused at least 200 people to become ill. The virus has many transmission routes and there is no vaccine or specific drug. According to reports, the epidemic has spread from the United States to Europe. From November 2019 to February this year, 26 people died of influenza in France, and the epidemic has spread throughout France.

After the outbreak of the new crown pneumonia in China, the United States not only quickly implemented travel restrictions on China, but some American media and scholars have repeatedly made remarks cursing the Chinese and maliciously attacking China. As far as the current situation is concerned, the outbreak of influenza in the United States has made China and the United States more like brothers in distress than the intense trade friction in 2019.

Since 2020, dengue fever has broken out in the tropical rainforest of Peru, with 2,300 cases and 12 deaths. The Peruvian government has taken urgent action to curb the spread of dengue fever. The dengue fever epidemic is mainly concentrated in tropical rainforest areas. The elderly, pregnant women and people with chronic diseases are at high risk of infection. Some patients died due to delay in treatment.

In January 2020, scientists discovered a brand-new mysterious virus in Brazil. 90% of the genes of this virus have never been described in public scientific databases and literature before, and cannot be identified. It is reported that the virus was discovered in Lake Pamplha in Belo Horizonte, Brazil, and named after the water god in Brazilian mythology and folklore: Yala virus. More worryingly, the researchers concluded, the unknown number of proteins that make up the Yarra virus particle opens the door to another world that reflects the enormous variability in the viral world and the fact that it is full of unknowns. Little or no known potential viral genomes are waiting to be explored and discovered.

The World Health Organization announced in Geneva on February 12 that the Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo still constitutes a public health emergency of international concern. The Ebola outbreak, declared in August 2018, has killed more than 2,300 people in eastern DRC. The Ebola epidemic is not only known for its high mortality rate, but since 2019 there have been 386 attacks on Ebola epidemic prevention and control staff and related infrastructure in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), resulting in 7 deaths and 77 deaths. Injured, many communities affected by the epidemic are remote and difficult to enter, and the local security situation is not optimistic. The prevention and control of the epidemic cannot be relaxed. At present, the local army has carried out military suppression.

On December 23, 2019, the General Administration of Customs of China issued an announcement to prevent the spread of Ebola virus disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo to my country. The announcement is valid for 6 months.

On February 10, 2020, an unknown disease broke out in Nigeria. The Nigerian government recently warned that a "strange disease" had broken out in the country, causing 15 deaths and 104 infections in less than a week, of which 4 died within 48 hours of becoming ill. These include headaches, diarrhea, vomiting, body heat, stomach pain and bloating, and general weakness.

According to the latest statistics from the World Health Organization, about half of the global plague events in the past 50 years have occurred in Africa, especially in poorer countries, which are prone to plague events caused by viruses. Although plague events in Africa are not uncommon, they should still attract global attention.

Nan Yunshan said to the grandfather again:

In February 2020, high-risk bird flu broke out in Saudi Arabia and Vietnam. An outbreak of highly pathogenic avian influenza, commonly known as bird flu, has been detected in Saudi Arabia and Vietnam. In Saudi Arabia, an outbreak of H5N8 high-risk bird flu began on January 30, infecting and killing more than 22,000 birds in the central part of the country. Official figures show at least 385,300 birds were killed and processed. In the same month, African swine fever spread in the southern Philippines. Philippine officials have confirmed that African swine fever has begun to spread in the southern provinces. The southern Philippines is the country's pig-intensive area, accounting for about one-third of the country's stock (12.8 million heads). The Philippine Department of Agriculture issued a statement saying that Secretary of Agriculture Dahl has ordered to limit the range of movement of local animals. The Philippines is the tenth largest pork consumer and the seventh largest pork importer in the world. The impact of the spread of swine fever cannot be underestimated.

According to the World Organization for Animal Health (OIE), on January 2, 2020, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development of Poland notified OIE that an outbreak of H5N8 highly pathogenic avian influenza occurred in Poland. The outbreak occurred in Lubartuf County, Lupur Province. Laboratory testing found that a total of 12,089 poultry suspected cases, all of which died of the disease. In response to the bird flu in Poland, the Chinese Customs Administration issued relevant announcements to strictly control product imports.

Nan Yunshan said to the public: Relevant media reports have said that there have been many incidents such as new crown pneumonia, bird flu, and plague recently, and effective epidemic prevention is a worldwide issue that should be taken seriously. International organizations should adopt stricter monitoring measures to prevent the spread of the disease and strengthen virus defense and research.

He Jiafu was lying on the sickbed, his eyes glazed over, and he didn't say a word.